6 seats · estimated turnout 70.4 % (2023: 59.9 %)
Girona
Preliminary forecast updated 20 October 2026, from 50,000 simulations.
Estimated vote
PSC28.7 %20.5–36.8
ERC17.3 %10.3–27.8
Junts15.1 %8.2–25.0
PP13.1 %8.7–18.0
Vox12.5 %8.2–17.5
Frente Amplio6.1 %2.6–11.7
Se Acabó La Fiesta1.5 %0.5–3.4
Dot: mean; bar: 95% of simulations. Share of valid votes.
Seats
| Party | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 95 % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSC | 3 | 78 | 19 | 2 (1–3) | ||||
| ERC | 3 | 83 | 13 | 1 (0–2) | ||||
| Junts | 10 | 83 | 6 | 1 (0–2) | ||||
| PP | 12 | 88 | 1 (0–1) | |||||
| Vox | 18 | 82 | 1 (0–1) |
Probability (%) of each seat count. 95%: median and 95% range of simulations.
In Catalonia the PSOE runs as the PSC (same colour).
The closest seat
1.º seat for Vox: 82 %; challenger PSC (19 %).
Senate
The Senate in Girona
29N forecast
4 senators
| List | % vote | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | Mean (95%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSC | 29.1 21.0–37.1 | 6 | 6 | 88 | 2.8 (1–3) | ||
| ERC | 17.6 10.5–28.1 | 44 | 48 | 4 | 4 | 0.7 (0–3) | |
| Junts | 15.3 8.4–25.3 | 72 | 24 | 2 | 2 | 0.3 (0–2) | |
| PP | 13.3 8.9–18.2 | 90 | 10 | 0.1 (0–1) | |||
| Vox | 12.7 8.3–17.7 | 93 | 7 | 0.1 (0–1) | |||
| Frente Amplio | 6.2 2.7–11.9 | >99 | 0.0 (0–0) | ||||
| Otros | 4.3 1.4–12.7 | >99 | 0.0 (0–0) | ||||
| Se Acabó La Fiesta | 1.5 0.5–3.4 | >99 | 0.0 (0–0) |
Most likely splits
- PSC 3 · ERC 147 %
- PSC 3 · Junts 123 %
- PSC 3 · PP 110 %
- PSC 3 · Vox 17 %
% vote: list estimate (mean and 95% interval), share of votes for lists. Columns 0, 1, 2…: probability (%) of each number of senators; Mean (95%): expected senators and 95% range.
Senators elected in 2023
| Senator | Party | Votes |
|---|---|---|
| Consol Canteny Arbolí | PSC | 83,432 |
| Martí Sans Pairuto | PSC | 76,372 |
| Lluïsa Blanch Fulcarà | PSC | 74,739 |
| Joan Bagué Roura | JxCAT - JUNTS | 73,006 |
2023 result
| Party | % | 2023 seats | With 2026 seats |
|---|---|---|---|
| PSC | 28.9 | 2 | 2 |
| Junts | 19.6 | 2 | 2 |
| ERC | 14.7 | 1 | 1 |
| Frente Amplio | 10.9 | 1 | 1 |
| PP | 9.7 | – | – |
| Vox | 7.0 | – | – |
| CUP-PR | 5.6 | – | – |
| PACMA | 1.1 | – | – |
The last seat, 2026 forecast
| Holds it | Just short | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vox · 26 % | PSC · 41 % |
| 2 | PSC · 24 % | ERC · 19 % |
| 3 | PP · 21 % | Junts · 14 % |
| 4 | Junts · 16 % | Vox · 12 % |
Votes the challenger would need: median 8,810 (interquartile range 3,190–20,053), 2.31 % of valid votes. Across the 50,000 forecast simulations.
The last seat, 2008–2023
| Election | Won by | Runner-up | Transfer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2008 | PSOE | PP | 2,458 |
| 2011 | ERC | PSOE | 109 |
| 2015 | ERC | Cs | 4,169 |
| 2016 | CiU/Junts | PP | 3,128 |
| 2019A | ERC | IU/UP/Sumar | 798 |
| 2019N | IU/UP/Sumar | CUP | 1,004 |
| 2023 | CiU/Junts | PP | 190 |
Votes the runner-up would need to take from the winner to flip the seat.