Estimated turnout 71.2 % (65.1–76.9)
PSOE22.7 %13.3–31.21 (0–2) seat012
EH Bildu20.9 %10.6–37.81 (0–2) seat012
PP17.7 %10.1–24.91 (0–2) seat01
EAJ-PNV16.0 %7.8–30.21 (0–2) seat01
Vox7.4 %4.0–11.20 (0–0) seats0
Frente Amplio7.1 %2.7–14.00 (0–1) seats01
Podemos4.8 %1.5–10.70 (0–0) seats0
Your scenario on top of the forecast
- Lean1.º seat for EAJ-PNV: 71 % · challenger PSOE (22 %)
- Likely1.º seat for PP: 89 %
- Likely1.º seat for EH Bildu: 93 %
Estimated turnout 76.7 % (71.5–81.5)
PP37.5 %29.0–46.32 (1–2) seats12
PSOE27.1 %20.0–35.01 (1–2) seat12
Vox23.3 %16.7–30.91 (1–1) seat1
Frente Amplio4.5 %1.9–8.80 (0–0) seats0
Podemos2.7 %0.9–6.20 (0–0) seats0
Se Acabó La Fiesta2.2 %0.8–4.90 (0–0) seats0
Your scenario on top of the forecast
- Likely2.º seat for PP: 92 % · challenger PSOE (7 %)
- Safe1.º seat for Vox: 99 %
- Safe1.º seat for PSOE: >99 %
Estimated turnout 74.3 % (68.8–79.4)
PP35.8 %27.6–44.35 (4–6) seats456
PSOE26.4 %19.5–34.03 (2–5) seats234
Vox23.7 %17.1–31.13 (2–4) seats234
Compromís-Front Valencià8.9 %4.1–16.11 (0–2) seat012
Se Acabó La Fiesta2.0 %0.7–4.40 (0–0) seats0
Your scenario on top of the forecast
- Lean5.º seat for PP: 67 % · challenger PSOE (40 %)
- Lean1.º seat for Compromís-Front Valencià: 76 %
- Likely3.º seat for Vox: 84 %
Estimated turnout 71.1 % (65.4–76.5)
PP36.8 %29.2–44.93 (2–3) seats23
Vox27.9 %20.9–35.52 (1–3) seats123
PSOE22.2 %16.6–28.61 (1–2) seat12
Por Andalucía3.6 %1.5–7.00 (0–0) seats0
Se Acabó La Fiesta2.5 %0.9–5.40 (0–0) seats0
Adelante Andalucía2.3 %1.0–4.50 (0–0) seats0
Podemos1.8 %0.6–4.00 (0–0) seats0
Your scenario on top of the forecast
- Lean3.º seat for PP: 70 % · challenger PSOE (33 %)
- Likely2.º seat for Vox: 90 %
- Safe1.º seat for Vox: >99 %
Estimated turnout 78.4 % (73.5–82.9)
PP38.5 %27.5–48.72 (1–2) seats12
PSOE21.9 %14.9–29.51 (0–1) seat01
Vox20.0 %13.2–27.61 (0–1) seat01
Se Acabó La Fiesta2.8 %1.0–6.30 (0–0) seats0
Frente Amplio2.7 %1.1–5.50 (0–0) seats0
Podemos2.3 %0.7–5.20 (0–0) seats0
Your scenario on top of the forecast
- Lean1.º seat for Vox: 62 % · challenger PP (53 %)
- Likely1.º seat for PSOE: 84 %
- Safe1.º seat for PP: >99 %
Estimated turnout 75.4 % (69.9–80.4)
PP36.3 %27.7–45.32 (2–3) seats23
PSOE31.0 %23.0–39.72 (1–2) seats12
Vox20.1 %14.1–27.31 (1–2) seat1
Frente Amplio4.1 %1.8–8.00 (0–0) seats0
Podemos2.5 %0.8–5.70 (0–0) seats0
Se Acabó La Fiesta2.3 %0.8–5.20 (0–0) seats0
Your scenario on top of the forecast
- Likely2.º seat for PSOE: 86 % · challenger PP (13 %)
- Safe1.º seat for Vox: 99 %
- Safe2.º seat for PP: 99 %
Estimated turnout 66.3 % (59.5–72.7)
PP32.8 %24.7–41.63 (2–4) seats234
PSOE25.9 %18.8–33.72 (2–3) seats23
Vox22.2 %15.6–29.82 (1–3) seats123
Ara MÉS-Front Ampli8.2 %3.6–15.50 (0–1) seats01
Podemos5.5 %1.9–11.90 (0–1) seats01
Se Acabó La Fiesta1.8 %0.7–4.10 (0–0) seats0
Your scenario on top of the forecast
- Toss-up3.º seat for PSOE: 39 % · challenger Ara MÉS-Front Ampli (33 %)
- Likely2.º seat for Vox: 90 %
- Likely3.º seat for PP: 92 %
Estimated turnout 73.4 % (68.2–78.3)
PSC32.0 %23.7–40.011 (9–14) seats91011121314
PP16.6 %11.5–22.36 (4–8) seats45678
ERC15.4 %9.2–25.15 (3–9) seats345678
Vox13.4 %9.0–18.54 (3–6) seats3456
Frente Amplio8.4 %4.0–15.13 (1–5) seats12345
Junts7.8 %4.1–13.62 (1–5) seats1234
Se Acabó La Fiesta1.2 %0.4–2.60 (0–0) seats0
Your scenario on top of the forecast
- Toss-up5.º seat for Vox: 49 % · challenger PSC (49 %)
- Toss-up3.º seat for Frente Amplio: 51 %
- Toss-up6.º seat for PP: 57 %
Estimated turnout 76.1 % (70.8–80.9)
PP38.0 %29.2–47.12 (1–3) seats123
PSOE27.6 %20.3–35.71 (1–2) seat12
Vox18.9 %13.2–25.61 (0–1) seat01
Frente Amplio5.1 %2.2–10.00 (0–0) seats0
Podemos3.2 %1.1–7.20 (0–0) seats0
Se Acabó La Fiesta2.0 %0.7–4.40 (0–0) seats0
Your scenario on top of the forecast
- Likely1.º seat for Vox: 90 % · challenger PSOE (12 %)
- Likely2.º seat for PP: 94 %
- Safe1.º seat for PSOE: >99 %
Estimated turnout 75.5 % (70.1–80.6)
PP36.6 %28.0–45.72 (1–2) seats12
PSOE31.2 %23.2–39.81 (1–2) seat12
Vox19.6 %13.7–26.61 (0–1) seat01
Frente Amplio3.8 %1.6–7.50 (0–0) seats0
Se Acabó La Fiesta2.6 %0.9–5.70 (0–0) seats0
Podemos2.5 %0.8–5.60 (0–0) seats0
Your scenario on top of the forecast
- Likely2.º seat for PP: 81 % · challenger PSOE (30 %)
- Likely1.º seat for Vox: 87 %
- Safe1.º seat for PP: >99 %
Estimated turnout 68.5 % (62.7–74.1)
PP32.3 %24.9–40.03 (2–4) seats234
PSOE23.3 %17.2–30.12 (1–3) seats123
Vox22.1 %16.0–28.82 (1–3) seats123
Adelante Andalucía10.3 %4.8–19.11 (0–2) seat012
Por Andalucía4.8 %2.1–9.40 (0–1) seats01
Se Acabó La Fiesta1.9 %0.7–4.30 (0–0) seats0
Podemos1.5 %0.5–3.40 (0–0) seats0
Your scenario on top of the forecast
- Lean1.º seat for Adelante Andalucía: 63 % · challenger PP (21 %)
- Likely2.º seat for Vox: 92 %
- Likely3.º seat for PP: 94 %
Estimated turnout 76.4 % (71.2–81.2)
PP34.5 %26.6–43.12 (1–3) seats123
PSOE27.4 %20.3–35.12 (1–2) seats12
Vox23.1 %16.6–30.41 (1–2) seat12
Compromís-Front Valencià9.9 %4.6–18.30 (0–1) seats01
Se Acabó La Fiesta2.1 %0.7–4.60 (0–0) seats0
Your scenario on top of the forecast
- Lean2.º seat for PSOE: 61 % · challenger Vox (16 %)
- Safe2.º seat for PP: 97 %
- Safe1.º seat for Vox: >99 %
Estimated turnout 75.9 % (70.5–80.9)
PP38.6 %29.9–47.52 (2–3) seats23
PSOE28.0 %20.7–36.12 (1–2) seats12
Vox22.8 %16.3–30.41 (1–2) seat12
Frente Amplio3.5 %1.5–6.90 (0–0) seats0
Se Acabó La Fiesta2.5 %0.9–5.60 (0–0) seats0
Podemos2.2 %0.7–4.90 (0–0) seats0
Your scenario on top of the forecast
- Toss-up2.º seat for PSOE: 59 % · challenger PP (31 %)
- Safe2.º seat for PP: >99 %
- Safe1.º seat for Vox: >99 %
Estimated turnout 75.3 % (70.3–80.0)
PP35.0 %27.4–42.93 (2–4) seats234
PSOE24.2 %18.0–31.02 (1–2) seats12
Vox20.3 %14.7–26.61 (1–2) seat12
Adelante Andalucía6.1 %2.8–11.90 (0–1) seats01
Por Andalucía6.1 %2.7–11.70 (0–1) seats01
Podemos3.1 %1.1–6.90 (0–0) seats0
Se Acabó La Fiesta2.1 %0.8–4.60 (0–0) seats0
Your scenario on top of the forecast
- Lean3.º seat for PP: 76 % · challenger Vox (30 %)
- Likely2.º seat for PSOE: 80 %
- Safe2.º seat for PP: >99 %
Estimated turnout 73.8 % (68.2–79.2)
PP38.5 %29.3–47.24 (3–5) seats345
PSOE23.3 %16.6–30.62 (1–3) seats123
BNG15.4 %8.2–26.31 (0–3) seat012
Vox9.6 %6.3–13.61 (0–1) seat01
Frente Amplio6.0 %2.6–11.50 (0–1) seats01
Podemos3.6 %1.2–8.00 (0–0) seats0
Se Acabó La Fiesta1.6 %0.6–3.50 (0–0) seats0
Your scenario on top of the forecast
- Lean1.º seat for Vox: 66 % · challenger BNG (23 %)
- Lean4.º seat for PP: 77 %
- Likely2.º seat for PSOE: 95 %
Estimated turnout 78.5 % (73.6–83.0)
PP37.7 %29.1–46.61 (1–2) seat12
PSOE30.1 %22.5–38.61 (1–2) seat12
Vox21.2 %15.1–28.51 (0–1) seat01
Frente Amplio3.2 %1.4–6.40 (0–0) seats0
Se Acabó La Fiesta2.8 %1.0–6.20 (0–0) seats0
Podemos2.4 %0.8–5.50 (0–0) seats0
Your scenario on top of the forecast
- Lean1.º seat for Vox: 69 % · challenger PP (29 %)
- Safe1.º seat for PSOE: >99 %
- Safe1.º seat for PP: >99 %
Estimated turnout 70.4 % (64.8–75.8)
PSC28.7 %20.5–36.82 (1–3) seats23
ERC17.3 %10.3–27.81 (0–2) seat012
Junts15.1 %8.2–25.01 (0–2) seat012
PP13.1 %8.7–18.01 (0–1) seat01
Vox12.5 %8.2–17.51 (0–1) seat01
Frente Amplio6.1 %2.6–11.70 (0–1) seats01
Se Acabó La Fiesta1.5 %0.5–3.40 (0–0) seats0
Your scenario on top of the forecast
- Likely1.º seat for Vox: 82 % · challenger PSC (19 %)
- Likely1.º seat for PP: 88 %
- Likely1.º seat for Junts: 90 %
Estimated turnout 73.9 % (68.6–78.9)
PP34.1 %26.8–41.93 (2–4) seats234
PSOE25.0 %18.8–31.92 (1–3) seats123
Vox22.5 %16.5–29.22 (1–2) seats12
Por Andalucía5.2 %2.3–10.10 (0–1) seats0
Adelante Andalucía5.0 %2.2–9.70 (0–0) seats0
Podemos2.5 %0.9–5.70 (0–0) seats0
Se Acabó La Fiesta2.3 %0.9–5.10 (0–0) seats0
Your scenario on top of the forecast
- Likely2.º seat for Vox: 85 % · challenger PSOE (10 %)
- Likely3.º seat for PP: 92 %
- Safe2.º seat for PSOE: 96 %
Estimated turnout 77.1 % (72.0–81.9)
PP34.3 %26.1–42.91 (1–2) seat12
PSOE26.7 %19.6–34.61 (1–1) seat1
Vox25.7 %18.6–33.81 (0–1) seat01
Frente Amplio4.7 %2.0–9.30 (0–0) seats0
Podemos2.7 %0.9–6.10 (0–0) seats0
Se Acabó La Fiesta2.6 %0.9–5.70 (0–0) seats0
Your scenario on top of the forecast
- Safe1.º seat for Vox: 96 % · challenger PP (6 %)
- Safe1.º seat for PSOE: 98 %
- Safe1.º seat for PP: >99 %
Estimated turnout 72.0 % (66.0–77.6)
EH Bildu31.2 %17.4–50.12 (1–4) seats1234
EAJ-PNV22.2 %11.7–38.62 (1–3) seats123
PSOE19.9 %10.1–28.91 (0–2) seat012
PP10.3 %5.1–15.50 (0–1) seats01
Frente Amplio5.3 %1.9–10.70 (0–1) seats01
Vox4.6 %2.2–7.40 (0–0) seats0
Podemos3.5 %1.0–8.10 (0–0) seats0
Your scenario on top of the forecast
- Toss-up1.º seat for PP: 48 % · challenger EH Bildu (44 %)
- Toss-up2.º seat for EAJ-PNV: 53 %
- Likely2.º seat for EH Bildu: 93 %
Estimated turnout 69.3 % (63.4–75.0)
PP33.7 %26.2–41.52 (2–3) seats23
PSOE26.6 %20.0–33.92 (1–2) seats12
Vox21.1 %15.3–27.61 (1–2) seat12
Adelante Andalucía5.9 %2.6–11.40 (0–0) seats0
Por Andalucía4.6 %2.0–9.10 (0–0) seats0
Se Acabó La Fiesta2.2 %0.8–4.80 (0–0) seats0
Podemos2.2 %0.7–4.90 (0–0) seats0
Your scenario on top of the forecast
- Lean2.º seat for PSOE: 73 % · challenger PP (16 %)
- Safe2.º seat for PP: 99 %
- Safe1.º seat for Vox: >99 %
Estimated turnout 74.9 % (69.4–80.1)
PP36.0 %27.1–45.31 (1–2) seat12
PSOE28.0 %20.4–36.41 (1–2) seat12
Vox18.3 %12.6–25.00 (0–1) seats01
CHA-Frente Amplio5.6 %2.4–11.00 (0–0) seats0
Podemos3.8 %1.3–8.50 (0–0) seats0
Se Acabó La Fiesta2.3 %0.8–5.20 (0–0) seats0
Your scenario on top of the forecast
- Toss-up1.º seat for Vox: 49 % · challenger PP (47 %)
- Safe1.º seat for PSOE: >99 %
- Safe1.º seat for PP: >99 %
Estimated turnout 76.1 % (71.1–80.7)
PP35.0 %27.2–43.12 (2–3) seats23
PSOE27.4 %20.5–34.92 (1–2) seats12
Vox20.7 %14.9–27.21 (1–2) seat12
Por Andalucía3.9 %1.7–7.70 (0–0) seats0
Adelante Andalucía3.3 %1.4–6.40 (0–0) seats0
Se Acabó La Fiesta2.4 %0.9–5.30 (0–0) seats0
Podemos2.2 %0.7–4.90 (0–0) seats0
Your scenario on top of the forecast
- Lean2.º seat for PSOE: 75 % · challenger PP (19 %)
- Safe2.º seat for PP: >99 %
- Safe1.º seat for Vox: >99 %
Estimated turnout 74.9 % (69.4–80.0)
PP38.4 %29.9–47.32 (1–2) seats12
PSOE30.8 %23.1–39.21 (1–2) seat12
Vox19.2 %13.5–25.91 (0–1) seat01
Frente Amplio4.1 %1.8–8.10 (0–0) seats0
Podemos2.8 %1.0–6.20 (0–0) seats0
Se Acabó La Fiesta2.2 %0.8–4.80 (0–0) seats0
Your scenario on top of the forecast
- Likely1.º seat for Vox: 84 % · challenger PSOE (24 %)
- Likely2.º seat for PP: 89 %
- Safe1.º seat for PP: >99 %
Estimated turnout 70.0 % (64.3–75.4)
PSC28.2 %20.1–36.22 (1–2) seats12
ERC19.7 %11.9–31.21 (0–2) seat012
PP15.1 %10.1–20.61 (0–1) seat01
Junts13.5 %7.3–22.70 (0–1) seats01
Vox11.6 %7.5–16.20 (0–1) seats01
Frente Amplio5.0 %2.1–9.70 (0–0) seats0
Se Acabó La Fiesta1.5 %0.5–3.40 (0–0) seats0
Your scenario on top of the forecast
- Lean2.º seat for PSC: 63 % · challenger Junts (43 %)
- Lean1.º seat for PP: 74 %
- Likely1.º seat for ERC: 93 %
Estimated turnout 76.8 % (71.6–81.6)
PP42.2 %32.8–51.72 (2–3) seats23
PSOE28.8 %21.1–37.51 (1–2) seat12
Vox16.2 %11.2–22.31 (0–1) seat01
Frente Amplio4.1 %1.8–8.00 (0–0) seats0
Podemos3.4 %1.1–7.50 (0–0) seats0
Se Acabó La Fiesta1.8 %0.6–4.10 (0–0) seats0
Your scenario on top of the forecast
- Toss-up1.º seat for Vox: 58 % · challenger PSOE (25 %)
- Safe2.º seat for PP: 98 %
- Safe1.º seat for PSOE: >99 %
Estimated turnout 73.7 % (68.0–79.1)
PP44.9 %35.3–53.93 (2–3) seats23
PSOE24.9 %17.9–32.61 (1–2) seat12
BNG12.9 %6.7–22.50 (0–1) seats01
Vox8.5 %5.7–12.00 (0–0) seats0
Frente Amplio2.9 %1.2–5.80 (0–0) seats0
Podemos2.2 %0.7–4.90 (0–0) seats0
Se Acabó La Fiesta1.9 %0.7–4.20 (0–0) seats0
Your scenario on top of the forecast
- Lean3.º seat for PP: 63 % · challenger BNG (23 %)
- Safe1.º seat for PSOE: >99 %
- Safe2.º seat for PP: >99 %
Estimated turnout 77.7 % (73.0–82.1)
PP38.1 %30.1–46.416 (12–19) seats13141516171819
PSOE23.5 %17.4–30.29 (7–12) seats789101112
Vox21.7 %15.8–28.49 (6–12) seats67891011
Frente Amplio8.3 %4.1–14.63 (1–6) seats12345
Podemos3.6 %1.4–7.51 (0–3) seat012
Se Acabó La Fiesta1.5 %0.6–3.30 (0–1) seats01
Your scenario on top of the forecast
- Toss-up16.º seat for PP: 56 % · challenger PSOE (49 %)
- Toss-up9.º seat for Vox: 57 %
- Lean1.º seat for Podemos: 62 %
Estimated turnout 71.0 % (65.3–76.3)
PP34.7 %27.1–42.65 (4–6) seats456
Vox23.3 %17.1–30.23 (2–4) seats234
PSOE22.2 %16.4–28.63 (2–4) seats234
Adelante Andalucía6.7 %3.0–12.80 (0–1) seats01
Por Andalucía5.3 %2.3–10.20 (0–1) seats01
Podemos2.0 %0.7–4.50 (0–0) seats0
Se Acabó La Fiesta2.0 %0.7–4.30 (0–0) seats0
Your scenario on top of the forecast
- Toss-up5.º seat for PP: 59 % · challenger Adelante Andalucía (41 %)
- Lean3.º seat for PSOE: 73 %
- Likely3.º seat for Vox: 82 %
Estimated turnout 74.1 % (68.5–79.4)
PP37.8 %29.0–46.74 (3–6) seats3456
Vox28.8 %21.0–37.63 (2–4) seats234
PSOE20.6 %14.7–27.42 (1–3) seats123
Frente Amplio5.1 %2.2–9.90 (0–1) seats01
Podemos2.6 %0.9–5.80 (0–0) seats0
Se Acabó La Fiesta2.0 %0.7–4.50 (0–0) seats0
Your scenario on top of the forecast
- Toss-up5.º seat for PP: 46 % · challenger Vox (33 %)
- Likely3.º seat for Vox: 93 %
- Safe4.º seat for PP: 95 %
Estimated turnout 73.7 % (67.9–78.9)
PP29.2 %19.5–38.82 (1–3) seats123
PSOE23.1 %15.1–31.22 (1–2) seats12
EH Bildu18.8 %8.2–38.41 (0–3) seat012
Vox10.1 %6.2–14.70 (0–1) seats01
Frente Amplio6.5 %2.7–12.80 (0–1) seats01
Podemos3.7 %1.2–8.30 (0–0) seats0
Se Acabó La Fiesta1.6 %0.6–3.80 (0–0) seats0
Your scenario on top of the forecast
- Toss-up2.º seat for PSOE: 53 % · challenger Vox (22 %)
- Likely1.º seat for EH Bildu: 89 %
- Likely2.º seat for PP: 92 %
Estimated turnout 73.3 % (67.7–78.7)
PP43.9 %34.5–52.83 (2–3) seats23
PSOE24.3 %17.5–31.81 (1–2) seat12
BNG13.0 %6.8–22.80 (0–1) seats01
Vox9.2 %6.1–12.90 (0–0) seats0
Frente Amplio3.4 %1.5–6.60 (0–0) seats0
Podemos2.5 %0.8–5.60 (0–0) seats0
Se Acabó La Fiesta1.8 %0.7–4.10 (0–0) seats0
Your scenario on top of the forecast
- Lean3.º seat for PP: 60 % · challenger BNG (27 %)
- Safe2.º seat for PP: >99 %
- Safe1.º seat for PSOE: >99 %
Estimated turnout 72.8 % (66.9–78.2)
PP34.3 %26.0–43.13 (2–4) seats234
PSOE28.0 %20.6–36.12 (2–3) seats23
Vox18.8 %13.1–25.51 (1–2) seat12
Frente Amplio7.7 %3.4–14.50 (0–1) seats01
Podemos5.5 %2.0–12.00 (0–1) seats01
Se Acabó La Fiesta1.6 %0.6–3.60 (0–0) seats0
Your scenario on top of the forecast
- Toss-up2.º seat for Vox: 38 % · challenger PSOE (36 %)
- Likely3.º seat for PP: 88 %
- Safe2.º seat for PSOE: 99 %
Estimated turnout 77.3 % (72.2–81.9)
PP39.3 %30.0–48.62 (1–2) seats12
PSOE27.9 %20.3–36.31 (1–1) seat1
Vox18.3 %12.7–24.90 (0–1) seats01
Frente Amplio3.3 %1.4–6.60 (0–0) seats0
Se Acabó La Fiesta2.4 %0.9–5.40 (0–0) seats0
Podemos2.4 %0.8–5.50 (0–0) seats0
Your scenario on top of the forecast
- Lean2.º seat for PP: 63 % · challenger Vox (36 %)
- Safe1.º seat for PSOE: 99 %
- Safe1.º seat for PP: >99 %
Estimated turnout 66.2 % (59.6–72.5)
PSOE27.5 %20.2–35.63 (2–3) seats23
PP27.0 %19.9–34.72 (2–3) seats23
Vox22.3 %15.6–30.02 (1–3) seats123
Unidad del Pueblo Canario12.9 %6.2–23.21 (0–2) seat012
Coalición Canaria5.7 %2.7–10.60 (0–1) seats01
Se Acabó La Fiesta1.9 %0.7–4.20 (0–0) seats0
Your scenario on top of the forecast
- Toss-up3.º seat for PSOE: 52 % · challenger PP (46 %)
- Likely1.º seat for Unidad del Pueblo Canario: 84 %
- Likely2.º seat for Vox: 89 %
Estimated turnout 74.9 % (69.5–80.1)
PP36.3 %27.5–44.83 (2–4) seats234
PSOE25.3 %18.2–33.02 (1–3) seats123
BNG14.8 %7.9–25.71 (0–2) seat012
Vox9.3 %6.2–13.20 (0–1) seats01
Frente Amplio6.7 %2.9–12.80 (0–1) seats01
Podemos3.9 %1.3–8.60 (0–0) seats0
Se Acabó La Fiesta1.4 %0.5–3.10 (0–0) seats0
Your scenario on top of the forecast
- Toss-up1.º seat for Vox: 40 % · challenger PP (32 %)
- Likely1.º seat for BNG: 92 %
- Likely3.º seat for PP: 95 %
Estimated turnout 76.1 % (70.9–81.0)
PP42.6 %33.5–51.82 (2–3) seats23
PSOE24.7 %18.0–32.11 (1–1) seat1
Vox20.8 %14.7–27.81 (0–1) seat01
Frente Amplio3.6 %1.5–7.00 (0–0) seats0
Podemos2.5 %0.8–5.70 (0–0) seats0
Se Acabó La Fiesta2.3 %0.8–5.10 (0–0) seats0
Your scenario on top of the forecast
- Likely1.º seat for Vox: 94 % · challenger PP (6 %)
- Safe2.º seat for PP: >99 %
- Safe1.º seat for PSOE: >99 %
Estimated turnout 67.5 % (61.2–73.6)
PP37.9 %27.9–47.83 (2–4) seats234
PSOE30.1 %21.4–39.22 (2–3) seats23
Coalición Canaria15.7 %8.3–27.01 (0–2) seat012
Unidad del Pueblo Canario9.6 %4.3–17.70 (0–1) seats01
Se Acabó La Fiesta2.0 %0.7–4.50 (0–0) seats0
Your scenario on top of the forecast
- Toss-up3.º seat for PSOE: 42 % · challenger Unidad del Pueblo Canario (34 %)
- Likely3.º seat for PP: 92 %
- Likely1.º seat for Coalición Canaria: 92 %
Estimated turnout 77.0 % (71.7–81.8)
PP39.1 %30.2–48.22 (2–3) seats23
PSOE27.0 %19.8–35.12 (1–2) seats12
Vox20.5 %14.4–27.71 (1–2) seat12
Frente Amplio4.5 %2.0–8.90 (0–0) seats0
Podemos3.8 %1.3–8.40 (0–0) seats0
Se Acabó La Fiesta2.0 %0.7–4.50 (0–0) seats0
Your scenario on top of the forecast
- Toss-up2.º seat for PSOE: 54 % · challenger PP (42 %)
- Safe1.º seat for Vox: 99 %
- Safe2.º seat for PP: >99 %
Estimated turnout 79.1 % (74.3–83.5)
PP41.4 %32.5–50.52 (1–2) seats12
PSOE25.7 %18.8–33.41 (0–1) seat01
Vox19.7 %13.9–26.60 (0–1) seats01
Frente Amplio4.1 %1.8–8.20 (0–0) seats0
Podemos3.0 %1.0–6.90 (0–0) seats0
Se Acabó La Fiesta2.7 %1.0–5.90 (0–0) seats0
Your scenario on top of the forecast
- Lean2.º seat for PP: 62 % · challenger Vox (43 %)
- Likely1.º seat for PSOE: 95 %
- Safe1.º seat for PP: >99 %
Estimated turnout 73.9 % (68.7–78.9)
PP31.2 %23.9–38.94 (3–6) seats3456
PSOE26.0 %19.4–33.24 (3–5) seats345
Vox19.8 %14.3–26.13 (2–4) seats234
Adelante Andalucía9.3 %4.3–17.31 (0–2) seat012
Por Andalucía5.8 %2.6–11.10 (0–1) seats01
Podemos2.1 %0.7–4.80 (0–0) seats0
Se Acabó La Fiesta1.9 %0.7–4.10 (0–0) seats0
Your scenario on top of the forecast
- Toss-up4.º seat for PSOE: 57 % · challenger PP (44 %)
- Toss-up3.º seat for Vox: 60 %
- Likely1.º seat for Adelante Andalucía: 83 %
Estimated turnout 74.7 % (69.1–79.8)
PP33.1 %19.1–45.01 (1–2) seat12
PSOE22.6 %12.7–32.01 (0–1) seat01
Vox14.0 %7.7–20.80 (0–0) seats0
Se Acabó La Fiesta2.5 %0.8–5.80 (0–0) seats0
Frente Amplio2.1 %0.8–4.40 (0–0) seats0
Podemos1.7 %0.5–4.00 (0–0) seats0
Your scenario on top of the forecast
- Likely1.º seat for PSOE: 91 % · challenger PP (7 %)
- Safe1.º seat for PP: >99 %
Estimated turnout 71.1 % (65.4–76.5)
PSC29.9 %22.0–37.72 (2–3) seats23
ERC16.7 %9.9–27.21 (0–2) seat12
PP16.3 %11.3–21.91 (1–2) seat12
Vox16.1 %10.8–22.01 (1–2) seat12
Junts8.3 %4.3–14.50 (0–1) seats01
Frente Amplio6.4 %2.8–12.30 (0–1) seats01
Se Acabó La Fiesta1.6 %0.6–3.60 (0–0) seats0
Your scenario on top of the forecast
- Toss-up3.º seat for PSC: 49 % · challenger Junts (17 %)
- Safe1.º seat for ERC: 97 %
- Safe1.º seat for Vox: 98 %
Estimated turnout 77.0 % (71.9–81.7)
PP31.2 %18.8–42.21 (1–2) seat12
PSOE22.7 %13.5–31.91 (1–1) seat1
Vox17.1 %9.8–24.91 (0–1) seat01
CHA-Frente Amplio2.9 %1.1–6.10 (0–0) seats0
Se Acabó La Fiesta2.7 %0.9–6.10 (0–0) seats0
Podemos2.4 %0.7–5.70 (0–0) seats0
Your scenario on top of the forecast
- Lean1.º seat for Vox: 65 % · challenger PP (36 %)
- Safe1.º seat for PSOE: 98 %
- Safe1.º seat for PP: >99 %
Estimated turnout 76.6 % (71.3–81.4)
PP35.2 %27.1–44.02 (2–3) seats23
PSOE26.5 %19.5–34.32 (1–2) seats12
Vox25.9 %18.8–34.02 (1–2) seats12
Frente Amplio4.2 %1.8–8.20 (0–0) seats0
Se Acabó La Fiesta2.9 %1.0–6.30 (0–0) seats0
Podemos2.8 %0.9–6.20 (0–0) seats0
Your scenario on top of the forecast
- Lean2.º seat for Vox: 72 % · challenger PP (45 %)
- Lean2.º seat for PSOE: 78 %
- Safe2.º seat for PP: >99 %
Estimated turnout 77.2 % (72.1–81.9)
PP33.6 %25.8–42.06 (4–7) seats4567
PSOE27.2 %20.1–34.95 (3–6) seats3456
Vox22.5 %16.2–29.74 (3–5) seats345
Compromís-Front Valencià11.5 %5.6–20.32 (1–3) seats123
Se Acabó La Fiesta1.9 %0.7–4.20 (0–0) seats0
Your scenario on top of the forecast
- Toss-up5.º seat for PSOE: 58 % · challenger Compromís-Front Valencià (56 %)
- Lean4.º seat for Vox: 66 %
- Lean6.º seat for PP: 69 %
Estimated turnout 78.9 % (74.0–83.3)
PP38.1 %29.4–47.02 (2–3) seats23
PSOE26.2 %19.3–33.92 (1–2) seats12
Vox21.6 %15.3–28.81 (1–2) seat12
Frente Amplio5.4 %2.3–10.50 (0–0) seats0
Podemos3.3 %1.1–7.40 (0–0) seats0
Se Acabó La Fiesta2.0 %0.7–4.40 (0–0) seats0
Your scenario on top of the forecast
- Toss-up2.º seat for PSOE: 50 % · challenger PP (40 %)
- Safe1.º seat for Vox: >99 %
- Safe2.º seat for PP: >99 %
Estimated turnout 72.7 % (66.9–78.2)
EAJ-PNV25.9 %13.8–44.12 (1–5) seats1234
PSOE21.7 %11.5–30.72 (1–3) seats123
EH Bildu21.6 %11.2–37.72 (1–4) seats123
PP12.9 %6.6–19.01 (0–2) seat012
Frente Amplio5.6 %2.0–11.20 (0–1) seats01
Vox5.5 %2.7–8.60 (0–1) seats01
Podemos3.9 %1.1–8.60 (0–1) seats01
Your scenario on top of the forecast
- Toss-up3.º seat for EAJ-PNV: 50 % · challenger PSOE (26 %)
- Likely2.º seat for EH Bildu: 81 %
- Likely2.º seat for PSOE: 85 %
Estimated turnout 74.2 % (68.6–79.4)
PP41.7 %32.5–50.92 (1–2) seats12
PSOE26.6 %19.5–34.61 (0–1) seat1
Vox18.6 %12.9–25.20 (0–1) seats01
Frente Amplio3.1 %1.3–6.10 (0–0) seats0
Se Acabó La Fiesta2.5 %0.9–5.70 (0–0) seats0
Podemos2.4 %0.8–5.40 (0–0) seats0
Your scenario on top of the forecast
- Lean2.º seat for PP: 72 % · challenger Vox (30 %)
- Safe1.º seat for PSOE: 97 %
- Safe1.º seat for PP: >99 %
Estimated turnout 76.0 % (70.8–80.9)
PP33.6 %25.0–42.63 (2–4) seats234
PSOE24.8 %17.8–32.72 (1–3) seats123
Vox21.7 %15.1–29.22 (1–2) seats12
CHA-Frente Amplio7.5 %3.3–14.40 (0–1) seats01
Podemos4.2 %1.5–9.40 (0–0) seats0
Se Acabó La Fiesta1.8 %0.6–4.10 (0–0) seats0
Your scenario on top of the forecast
- Lean2.º seat for Vox: 76 % · challenger CHA-Frente Amplio (16 %)
- Likely3.º seat for PP: 87 %
- Likely2.º seat for PSOE: 94 %
Estimated turnout 61.2 % (54.0–68.2)
PP35.8 %27.2–45.01 (0–1) seat01
Vox31.1 %22.6–40.30 (0–1) seats01
PSOE25.8 %18.7–33.80 (0–1) seats01
Se Acabó La Fiesta2.4 %0.9–5.50 (0–0) seats0
Frente Amplio1.8 %0.8–3.70 (0–0) seats0
Your scenario on top of the forecast
- Lean1.º seat for PP: 71 % · challenger Vox (25 %)
Estimated turnout 58.3 % (51.1–65.5)
PP41.8 %31.1–52.11 (1–1) seat1
Vox23.6 %16.0–32.10 (0–0) seats0
PSOE20.4 %14.1–27.70 (0–0) seats0
Se Acabó La Fiesta2.4 %0.9–5.40 (0–0) seats0
Frente Amplio2.0 %0.8–4.00 (0–0) seats0
Your scenario on top of the forecast
- Safe1.º seat for PP: 99 % · challenger Vox (1 %)