3 seats · estimated turnout 74.9 % (2023: 69.9 %)
Huesca
Preliminary forecast updated 20 October 2026, from 50,000 simulations.
Estimated vote
PP36.0 %27.1–45.3
PSOE28.0 %20.4–36.4
Vox18.3 %12.6–25.0
CHA-Frente Amplio5.6 %2.4–11.0
Podemos3.8 %1.3–8.5
Se Acabó La Fiesta2.3 %0.8–5.2
Dot: mean; bar: 95% of simulations. Share of valid votes.
Seats
| Party | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 95 % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PP | 53 | 47 | 1 (1–2) | ||
| PSOE | 95 | 4 | 1 (1–2) | ||
| Vox | 51 | 49 | 0 (0–1) |
Probability (%) of each seat count. 95%: median and 95% range of simulations.
The closest seat
1.º seat for Vox: 49 %; challenger PP (47 %).
Senate
The Senate in Huesca
29N forecast
4 senators · joint PSOE + Frente Amplio list
| List | % vote | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | Mean (95%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PP | 36.6 27.8–45.6 | 24 | 19 | 57 | 2.3 (1–3) | ||
| PSOE + Frente Amplio | 32.8 24.8–41.5 | 57 | 19 | 24 | 1.7 (1–3) | ||
| Vox | 18.5 12.9–25.2 | 99 | 1 | 0.0 (0–0) | |||
| Otros | 5.9 2.0–15.0 | >99 | 0.0 (0–0) | ||||
| Podemos | 3.9 1.3–8.6 | >99 | 0.0 (0–0) | ||||
| Se Acabó La Fiesta | 2.3 0.8–5.3 | >99 | 0.0 (0–0) |
Most likely splits
- PP 3 · PSOE + Frente Amplio 157 %
- PSOE + Frente Amplio 3 · PP 123 %
- PP 2 · PSOE + Frente Amplio 219 %
- PP 3 · Vox 11 %
% vote: list estimate (mean and 95% interval), share of votes for lists. Columns 0, 1, 2…: probability (%) of each number of senators; Mean (95%): expected senators and 95% range.
Senators elected in 2023
| Senator | Party | Votes |
|---|---|---|
| Melania Mur Sangrá | PP | 46,025 |
| Javier Campoy Monreal | PP | 44,828 |
| Ana María Beltrán Villalba | PP | 43,718 |
| Rosa María Serrano Sierra | PSOE | 41,182 |
2023 result
| Party | % | 2023 seats | With 2026 seats |
|---|---|---|---|
| PP | 38.2 | 2 | 2 |
| PSOE | 33.6 | 1 | 1 |
| Vox | 12.6 | – | – |
| CHA-Frente Amplio | 11.5 | – | – |
| EXISTE | 1.1 | – | – |
The last seat, 2026 forecast
| Holds it | Just short | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vox · 46 % | PP · 44 % |
| 2 | PP · 45 % | Vox · 39 % |
| 3 | PSOE · 9 % | PSOE · 17 % |
| 4 | CHA-Frente Amplio · <1 % | CHA-Frente Amplio · <1 % |
Votes the challenger would need: median 4,297 (interquartile range 1,931–8,249), 3.46 % of valid votes. Across the 50,000 forecast simulations.
The last seat, 2008–2023
| Election | Won by | Runner-up | Transfer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2008 | PSOE | PP | 6,604 |
| 2011 | PP | PSOE | 8,857 |
| 2015 | IU/UP/Sumar | PP | 1,380 |
| 2016 | IU/UP/Sumar | PP | 843 |
| 2019A | Cs | PSOE | 2,594 |
| 2019N | PSOE | VOX | 1,210 |
| 2023 | PP | PSOE | 2,739 |
Votes the runner-up would need to take from the winner to flip the seat.